"A man's character always takes its hue, more or less, from the form and color of things about him." - Frederick Douglass
May 3, 2011
Closure
It is also a significant day for America's first responders who remain on the front lines in the war against terrorists here at home. It is a solemn, thoughtful, and bittersweet day for the many families who lost loved ones on 9-11 and for the "Gold Star" families who have lost loved ones in this now ten year war against the evildoers.
I am ever proud of my country. And this week, once again, I reminded why. Americans are unique in the world. We have a remarkable resolve. We have borne great burdens and we have made tremendous sacrifices as a country and, yet, we continue to endure. We continue to thrive. We continue to remain steadfast.
We are America. And, now, Osama Bin Laden - in his last breath of thought - knows what that means.
April 5, 2011
Courage?
March 11, 2011
Back At It
My last post focused on the abysmal performance of Republicans in Washington State during the 2010 election. Although (as one commenter stated) a focus on an effective ground game won't be a cure all for what ails Washington Republicans, it sure will help. To that end, I've accepted a request by Ralph Reed to help build a ground game here in Washington. For the 2012 election cycle, I will be serving (in a volunteer capacity) as the State Chair of the Faith and Freedom Coalition, the Washington State chapter of Ralph Reed's Faith and Freedom Coalition (http://bit.ly/dIjqd) (editors note: Ralph Reed's organization is in no way affiliated with Gary Randall's organization here in Washington State). I'm not sure what we'll be calling "Washington Faith and Freedom Coalition", but know this: My sole focus will be on building an effective grassroots organization in which people of faith will have an opportunity to be heard at all levels of government. If you're interested in learning more, send me a comment through this blog or get in touch with me on Facebook.
There has been a change at the top of the Washington GOP since my last post. Congrats to Kirby Wilbur. You have your work cut out for you! I'm sure Kirby will do a great job. He's an extremely effective messenger and that will be half the battle. Congratulations are in order, as well, to all the new members of the Executive Committee and the newly elected county chairs throughout our great state.
I couldn't be more proud of Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker and the brave Republicans who stood against union thuggery and for the people of Wisconsin. They did America a real favor by exposing the self-interested, selfish, leftist agenda of the public employee unions. At the end of the day, those union thugs weren't interested in "rights", they were interested in holding on to power. The absolute best component of the Wisconsin legislation? No more forced payment of union dues - it's now voluntary. That's what scared the heck out of all of those out of state "protesters" and that is what have public employee union sycophants scared to death. Oh to be able to do the same thing in Washington State!
Here's a quick thought on a completely unrelated topic. Wouldn't it make sense to require a county GOP chair to field Republican candidates in contested races in their county in order to keep the position of county GOP chair? I figure if you can't get anyone to run as a Republican then you probably shouldn't have the job. Additionally, shouldn't there be some threshold of success? Perhaps just ONE victory in a contested county race in order to keep the job? Lori Sotelo (King County chair) did a pretty good job of recruiting candidates and winning a contested race in one of the most liberal counties in the state. That begs the question: Why couldn't we win seats in other counties? I'm just saying.
Is anyone as nervous as I am about the current crop of Congressional Republicans? With a few exceptions (Allen West, Paul Ryan, Michelle Bachman) there seems to be a lot of the same old same old. I'm hearing a lot of backtracking on the no earmarks pledge. Many of the new Freshmen seem to be embracing the "perks" that come with the job. These are the same people who railed against all these perks while on the campaign trail. This budgeting by continuing resolution isn't going to get the job done. The future is now. We are broke and it is time to make some very difficult choices - choices that might cost some of these men and women their jobs. Do they have what it takes?
I've rambled on long enough. It's good to be back and I hope to actually contribute something meaningful to the conversation.
Please pray for the people of Japan, persecuted Christians in the Middle East, and all those who TRULY long for freedom.
November 8, 2010
What About Washington (Part 1)?
October 19, 2010
Double Standard...Again.
October 17, 2010
3rd CD Polls All Over The Place
Regardless of what pollsters might say, polling is an inexact science. There are so many variables that can effect the outcome of a poll from phrasing of the question(s) to sample size and universe. Looking at the internals of the two most recent WA-03 polls, it's pretty easy to see why there is such a big discrepancy - the samples are different.
This may be a bit simplistic, but it speaks to the discrepancy. The Survey USA poll interviewed a sample of likely voters that identified 34% of the voters as Republican. The Hill poll interviewed a sample of likely voters that identified 28% of the voters as Republican - a significant 4 point swing. Most pundits agree that voter intensity among Republicans is much higher than it is among Democrats this year, so The Survey USA sample could be spot on. However, commentators have also concluded that Washington appears to be somewhat of anomaly when it comes to Democrat intensity. That is, Washington Democrats appear to be more motivated to vote than their counterparts in other states. If that is true, than The Hill poll could very well be an accurate sample. So the answer? Who the heck knows which poll is right?
I think we can all agree that turnout in 2010 will nowhere near mirror turnout in 2008 where there was a highly motivated group of Democrats voting in their party across the country.. A more accurate turnout model would probably be the 2002 elections in which Republicans picked up a significant number of seats. Interestingly though, the partisan breakdown of 2002 results in WA-03 more closely mirror the sample in The Hill poll than Survey USA. Again, all very strange.
One last point. Survey USA has been exceptionally accurate over the past few election cycles. Even they concede, though, that this has been a difficult year to poll in Washington, so their hedging their bets. So be it. ballots are in the mail, people are voting, and, in the end, the only poll that matters is the one on election day. Onward.
October 7, 2010
The VP Comes to Town
I digress. It's always intriguing to see which surrogates come in to districts to stump for candidates. Biden's presence here, although distasteful to some, indicates, strongly, that Democrats believe they have a shot at winning in the 3rd District. While working for the Bush Administration and on the 2004 campaign, I had the chance to sit in meetings wherein we discussed where to send high level surrogates (Bush, Cheney, Giuliani, etc.) I know for a fact that having the VP come into your district and raise money for you is a big deal. And the decisions on where to send him are made after hours of scouring polls, looking at fundraising numbers, and getting the general political lay of the land.
I'll be interested to see how Republicans respond to Biden's presence. It will be particularly interesting to see if high level surrogates come in to the 2nd and/or 3rd CDs to help boost GOP candidates in both of those races. I saw Brian Walsh, Political Director of the NRCC mention the 2nd CD today as a race they feel has become winnable over the past few weeks. It will be interesting to see if they send in a heavy hitter to get John Koster over the finish line. The same goes for the 3rd CD.
You can learn a great deal about how seriously the national parties are taking a race based upon which surrogates gallop in to help. It's clear - just a handful of days before ballots drop - that the DCCC is going all in for Denny Heck.
September 29, 2010
Delaware's Sore Loser?
UPDATE: Congressman Castle proves that he is a man of character and honor by declining to mount a write in campaign (http://bit.ly/ctQ9Et). Murkowski could learn a thing or to about class and dignity from Mike Castle.
September 19, 2010
Who Decides if Someone Is Not Conservative Enough?
September 9, 2010
Choices
September 6, 2010
A Quote from John Adams
I was struck by a seemingly inconsequential passage in the book. It wouldn't leave me, so I wanted to share it with you. In a letter to John Quincy Adams, who expressed an interest in public life (serving in politics), Adams wrote "His first maxim then should be to place his honor out of reach of all men. In order to do this he must make it a rule to never become dependent upon public employment for subsistence. Let him have a trade, a profession...something where he can honestly live, and then, he may engage in public affairs, if invited, upon independent principles. My advice to my children is to maintain an independent character".
Oh how far we have come! There was a time when "public life" was to be had only after establishing a profession. Now, political service is a means in and of itself. This is exactly what I meant when I spoke of the concept of servant leadership and the notion that we need to be leery of those running for office who have no private sector experience.
If we are going to effect true change in this country, the kind of change espoused by the everyday folks involved in the tea party movement, we need to take a hard look at our "leaders" whose only "service" has been in public life.
There was a time when Congress convened for six months out of the year and then the individual members of Congress returned to their homes and their professions (in fact, John Adams did this as Vice-President). Are we too far removed from times such as these? Can we get back to a time when people didn't aspire to political office for the power, perks, and paycheck? I believe that we can, but it's up to each individual citizen to make it a priority to call on servant leaders to lead, not those who have made a career out of serving themselves at the public trough.
By the way - this is another great reason to support Dino Rossi over Patty Murray. Dino is a self-made man who built a business and then, when called to serve, put his experience to use for the benefit of taxpayers. By stark contrast, Patty Murray has made a career out of ensuring that the taxpayers serve her.
September 1, 2010
Denny Heck's Tone Deaf Ad
Heck's ad (available here) was striking in its tone deafness. I was stunned that his first ad for the general election, the one that will presumably introduce him to voters, focused on Wall Street reform! Wall Street reform! Seriously, is there anyone in the country, outside of the progressive enclaves of Berkley, CA, or downtown Seattle, discussing Wall Street reform around the kitchen table? I highly doubt that. Especially when we are living in a country that has nearly 10% unemployment, and a district where unemployment is 12%. We are living in a country that has $14 trillion in debt. A country that, in 10 years, will spend more on debt service than China does on its defense budget. And, Denny Heck is focused on Wall Street reform
Of course, the ad had the usual, tired Democrat talking points about "outsourcing American jobs", and "getting off our addiction to foreign oil" through green energy, but the main point, and the reason Denny is running (according to the ad) is because of those fat cat bankers on Wall Street. First question: How did Denny Heck make his millions? You guessed it, Wall Street. He, along with our junior Senator Maria Cantwell, was an early investor in RealNetworks. When RealNetworks went public, with the help of Investment Bankers ON WALL STREET, and had its initial public offering, Denny Heck was an overnight millionaire. Not bad for a guy who seems to despise those "fat cat bankers".
Second question: Why does he want to take the opportunity for wealth away from the rest of America? Heck is like so many Democrats who, once they've achieved success, want to limit the opportunity for success for the rest of us. Wealth is built three ways in this country: own dirt (real estate), own a business, or inherit the money. Heck and the rest of his ilk have already destroyed the real estate market, it seems like only Democrats inherit great wealth (or marry into it), and now they want to limit our ability to own businesses through ownership of stock. He got his, so he'll take his ball and go home.
In addition, Heck supports reinstating Glass-Steagall which might sound good on the surface, but could be disastrous for the economy (we'll leave this discussion for another day). Heck and his team have no idea how to speak to the fed up, angry, concerned voters of the 3rd Congressional District, so they resort to worn out arguments and tired talking points.
Now don't get me wrong. Reforms of "Wall Street" are needed. For instance, I support increased regulation of derivatives, CDOs, and some of the more exotic investment products. I don't, however, support the pseudo reforms in the biill that Obama signed in to law. That bill does nothing to address the underlying problems in our financial services sector, and does absolutely nothing to address the issues that caused the financial crisis in the first place.
But, none of this matters to Obama, Pelosi, and Heck. Their focus is to create divisions among Americans, based on class warfare, and try to shame people into supporting their misguided and dangerous policies. Although I don't put much stock in polls conducted in August, it is worth noting that Heck was down 14 points in the Survey USA poll commissioned after the primary election. He's going to have to get a real clue regarding the concerns of the people of the 3rd Congressional District, or that August poll will be his high water mark.
August 30, 2010
Are We Willing?
Republicans are missing out on an historic opportunity to gain a mandate for true and lasting reforms to Social Security. We must lead on this issue and be willing to engage in the arena of ideas. Reform must happen. There is broad agreement that the current Social Security system is unsustainable. The question is whose ideas will win out?
Ronald Reagan taught all conservatives that our ideas are more popular than liberalism and progressivism. The problem with conservatives, pre-Reagan, was an inability to effectively articulate the ideals of conservatism and draw the pure analogy between conservatism and the first principles of our country. Republican candidates should be willing to lead on this issue, stand in the arena, and join the fight.
Social Security is a promise made to generations of Americans and we are in danger of being unable to keep that promise. According to the Congressional Budget Office, in 2010 Social Security will begin paying out more in benefits than it brings in through payroll taxes. Furthermore, although the Social Security Trust Fund is supposed to keep Social Security solvent through 2041, the default fallback for Democrats, the sad truth is there is no actual money in the Social Security Trust Fund. Instead, Congress has spent the money and replaced it with IOU’s (http://bit.ly/192TT7). Finally, today’s worker has a promise of less than a 2 percent return on the money paid out to Social Security. That is less than core inflation and it has to change if we are seriously interested in retirement security for all Americans.
Real reform is needed in Social Security that:
1) Keeps the promise of Social Security that was made to the current generation of Americans;
2) Creates a system that will maintain the solvency of Social Security without tax hikes;
3) Establishes an “inheritable” account that non-users can leave to heirs;
4) Creates a system that is fair to minorities (particularly Black Americans) whose life expectancy is below the national average; and
5) Gives workers ownership over their savings.
There has been great work done on the issue of Social Security Reform by Congressman Paul Ryan (http://bit.ly/c5AqWf), the Cato Institute (www.cato.org), the Heritage Foundation (www.heritage.org) and The Social Security Reform Center (www.socialsecurityreform.org), among others. I have incorporated many of their ideas into this plan.
The Plan
1) Allow younger workers to invest a portion of their Social Security taxes in guaranteed, inheritable, personal accounts;
2) Set aside a portion of earnings on private accounts for deposit in the Social Security Trust fund for the first 15 years of the private account;
3) Maintain the current system of Social Security for workers 55 and older and those near retirement;
4) Allow workers 59 ½ and over the choice to opt out of Social Security and take a lump sum payment;
5) Lift the 401K and/or IRA limits for those workers who chose to opt out of Social Security and eliminate required minimum distributions;
6) Discontinue the use of wage indexing to determine the amount of benefits and replace it with progressive price indexing;
7) Establish legislation that puts the Social Security Trust Fund off limits for any purpose other than Social Security spending; and
8) Implement age indexing for Social Security benefits that correspond to current life expectancy tables.
We have a choice. We can continue to put off the problem of Social Security insolvency, or we can make hard choices. In order to meet future Social Security obligations under our current system, we will either have to raise taxes by 30% or cut benefits by 24%. Neither of those is a positive solution; we can do better.
The goal of this plan is to not only bring Social Security into the 21st Century and keep it solvent, but also to provide Americans with real choices in retirement. The current system will not keep up with the growing number of baby boomers who are reaching retirement. Something needs to be done.
These are not radical ideas by any stretch. They speak to the yearning of all Americans to be free of the yoke of government control. We need leaders who are not only able to develop creative and workable solutions, but who are also willing to implement good ideas. Doing nothing and hoping for the best is not an option.
August 26, 2010
Two Evils
- Oliver Goldsmith (Irish writer, poet, physician, 1776)
In the days since our August 17th primary election, I have read a lot of articles and comments about "having to chose between the lesser of two evils" in our state's Senate race. I, for one, reject that notion out of hand. It is abundantly clear that Dino Rossi is a considerably better choice than Patty Murray. Without question. It's not even close.
If elected to the United States Senate, Dino Rossi will be one of the few members of Congress (of either party) who has actually owned a small business. He will be one of the few who has actually created jobs in the private sector. He will be one of a small handful who have experience writing and managing private sector and public sector budgets. And, most importantly, he will be someone who has a record of conservatism to call upon. He has lived it, and his voting record speaks to that fact.
If you like Cap and Trade - support Murray over Rossi. If you like reckless and out of control spending - support Murray over Rossi. If you like - Sonja Sotomayor and Elena Kagen - support Murray over Rossi. If you think partial birth abortion is okay - support Murray over Rossi. If you like bailouts for billionaire bankers, Cash for Clunkers, earmarks, $2 trillion deficits, and $14 trillion in debt - support Murray over Rossi.
If you are as frustrated by the direction this country is going in and are disgusted by the legislation I just laid out, then you cannot sit out this election or throw your support to Murray. Too much is at stake!
Those of us supporting Dino Rossi are not choosing between the lesser of two evils. We are choosing to take advantage of an opportunity to undo the darkness that progressives like Patty Murray have foisted upon the American people and the people of Washington state. This cannot be an exercise in ideological purity - it is an opportunity to rescue our country from a cabal of big government, quasi-socialists, who are taking us down a path that is counter to our first principles. Dino Rossi can help this country change direction.
As somone who has experienced a political defeat, I understand, uniquely, the frustration of Didier supports - and Akers supporters for that matter. Moreover, Senator Don Benton is someone I have grown close to since I managed his race for Congress in 1998. He was my staunchest and most vehement supporter in my race for Congress this year. When he entered the Senate race, he was my guy - no question. I wasn't happy when he saw the writing on the wall and dropped out when Dino announced. Neither was Don. But, he did the right thing for his party and, more importantly, for his country. And, he stood up, supported Dino, and encouraged his supporters to do the same.
Let's put things in perspective. If supporters of George HW Bush, Howard Baker, Phil Crane, and John Connelly had decided not to support Ronald Reagan in 1980 following their defeats in the 1980 GOP Primary, Ronald Reagan may have never been President. Two of those candidates, Bush and Baker, were from the "Rockefeller Wing" of the Republican Party and thought (at the time) that Reagan was too conservative to get elected. They could have rejected Reagan as an ideologue, encouraged their supporters to do the same, and we would have had four more years of Jimmy Carter turning our nation into a laughingstock.
They stood with Reagan. Why? Because to do otherwise was unacceptable. They were unwilling to sacrifice the good of the country for their own pride, ego, or ideological purity. And praise God that they were!
The US Senate race in Washington State could very well be the most important campaign in America. Think about it. There is a very real possibility that Republicans will already have control of the House before ballots are even counted in Washington State. However, Republicans HAVE to win Washington in order to have a realistic shot at winning a majority in the Senate. This is it, this is our time.
I don't know if Dino will like me saying this or not - it's just my opinion, but if he is elected to the United States Senate, I believe he will be the first true conservative to represent our state in the Senate. He will reject higher taxes, he will insist on individual and economic freedom in this country, he will work for true spending restraint, he will be a voice of reason and compassion, and he will be a voice for the small business job creators - the backbone of our economy.
Our country is desperately in need of conservatives of conscience and clarity who recognize the threats we are facing. Dino Rossi represents the best hope for our state to send someone to the United States Senate who understands what's at stake and knows what needs to be done. Dino Rossi is a statesman, and our country needs men and women like him.
The choice couldn't be more clear. Socialism is evil, totalitarianism is evil, progressivism and its assault on the individual is evil. That's the darkness were fighting against. Supporting Dino helps bring our country back into the light.
August 24, 2010
My Statement on the Results of the Aug 17th Primary Election
October 8, 2009
The Coming Economic Recovery (and how progressives can mess it up)
With all the negative news we are bombarded with on the economy it’s a wonder that we haven’t all just thrown in the towel, moved to the woods and begin preparing for the coming apocalypse. Although unemployment is hovering near 10%, the dollar is down against the world’s major currencies, our deficit and debt are at an all time high, and the housing market continues to flounder, there is actually some good news about the economy.
As a financial advisor, the first place I look is the stock market. As you may know, the stock market tends to be “forward looking” – meaning that it’s usually an indicator of where the economy is headed rather than where it is been. It is not a predictor; rather it reacts to a set of concrete data and variables without emotion. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (the price weighted average of 30 heavily traded stocks) opened the year at 8776.39. As of today, it is at 9731.25, a nearly 1000 point gain and a 3261 point gain off of its November, 2008 low of 6469.95. That is good news. Wealth is being built.
Two other important indicators are the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Sector Index (health care, utilities, construction, retail, etc.) and the ISM Manufacturing Index. Both sectors of the economy showed growth in September. This is good news. Economist Larry Kudlow does this story much more justice than I can, so I encourage you to read his thoughts here (http://bit.ly/avLt9).
I raise these points for this reason: the American economy is unbelievably resilient! While economic news has been less than stellar, we are far from a third world economy. We remain the largest economy in the world and that statistic is not even close (http://bit.ly/2UWG3U). Our economy is on the road to recovery, but it will be a bumpy ride.
Having said that, do not let anyone tell you that the “stimulus plan” is the reason for the modest recovery we are experiencing and will experience. The vast majority of stimulus dollars have not been spent and many of those dollars that have been spent have gone to “projects” that won’t stimulate anything but the growth of government (www.recovery.com). The reason our economy is slowly recovering is because of natural business cycles that occur, the hard work of the American people, and most importantly, free market capitalism. It is the latter that has increasingly come under attack, and if the liberal progressives have their way, these attacks and subsequent action will either stall this recovery or send us into another recession.
Nancy Pelosi, Barney Frank, Brian Baird, and other liberal progressives in Congress are proposing legislation that, if enacted, will destroy the modest recovery that has begun. If so-called Cap and Trade legislation becomes law, it will be devastating to America’s manufacturing sector. Which means it will effectively end any chance of bringing quality, family-wage jobs to Southwest Washington – a part of the country that has a nearly 15% unemployment rate.
Furthermore, all indications are that Pelosi and company are going to let the Bush tax cuts expire. This will serve as a massive tax hike on the American people and will take much needed job creating capital out of the economy. This will occur at a time when we need more capital for job creation. Capital gains taxes (which I believe are a tax on success and smart planning) will increase from 15% to 25%. And marginal tax rates (our income taxes) will increase across the board. So much for not raising taxes on the middle class.
Finally, the “health care reform” legislation that is being proposed will increase our ever expanding deficit ($1.4 trillion to end this fiscal year). Future generations are being saddled with massive deficits and unsustainable debt for a bill that won’t solve the problem of reducing health care costs and improving access. Of note, the Baucus bill being proposed in the Senate will leave 25 million people uninsured according to the most recent CBO scoring.
Friends, our current economic woes are not the result of too little spending; instead, they are the result of too little economic growth. The best way to reduce the unemployment rate is obvious – create more jobs. The best way to accomplish this is by reducing the tax rates on American businesses and let them invest and grow. (See: Kennedy tax cuts, Reagan tax cuts, GWB tax cuts). Time and time again it has been proven that reduced tax rates lead to increased revenues to the federal treasury. Yet big government proponents like Baird and Pelosi continue to experiment with the same policies that drove our country into economic purgatory during the miserable Presidency of Jimmy Carter.
We must – all of us – hold our elected officials accountable. Remind them that every dime they take from our pocket and use to add or expand unnecessary government programs is an assault on our liberty. Do not let anyone tell you that you’re greedy because you want to keep your own money, instead of watch the government waste it.
We know that it is our responsibility to provide for our families and take care of our communities. And quite frankly, we are capable of doing that without government intervention by means of redistribution of wealth.
I am running for Congress because I am tired of the failed policies and rhetoric of liberal progressives who are slowly (actually more quickly this year) subverting the American way of life. I will be a new voice for people who still believe in the greatness of America and our people; a voice for all Americans, present and future, who choose to control their own destiny and who believe, as I do, that our best days lie ahead. www.castilloforcongress.com